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Is the financial crisis over in Asia?

COMMENTS

It's the beginning of the end, yes. Any further pain won't be as bad as it's been over the last year.  Read all comments »

Banks are posting improved results and have ended their headcount freezes in Asia. Hiring is heating up, and the economies of both Singapore and Hong Kong are starting to grow again.

Does this all mean that we can declare the financial crisis is finally over in Asia? If employment is anything to go by, perhaps the answer is yes.

A wide range of banks have recently returned to recruitment – from credit-crunched companies such as Citi and RBS, to surviving global giants Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and HSBC. Emerging Asian powerhouses like Standard Chartered, Barclays and ANZ are also getting in on the act.

And all this hiring is happening amid growing evidence that Asian economies are decoupling from their sluggish Western counterparts and that the regional recovery could indeed be V-shaped.

The four emerging Asian economies which have reported GDP figures for the second quarter (China, Indonesia, South Korea and Singapore) grew by an encouraging average annualised rate of more than 10 per cent.

Is this enough to call time on the crisis, or are we in danger of jumping the gun? After all, most large banks are headquartered in New York or Europe, so their Asian headcounts are still controlled from abroad. Firms might be recruiting, but the numbers involved are far smaller than two years ago, and the people they want are mainly senior specialists.

Let us know your thoughts below.

COMMENTS

overandout, Information Services,  Mon 17 Aug 09

It's the beginning of the end, yes. Any further pain won't be as bad as it's been over the last year. But I don't think hiring levels will really pick up until March/April 2010...there is still caution out there and the lead-up to bonus season will add to this.

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zac, Information Technology,  Mon 17 Aug 09

Well, I still can't get a job, so it ain't over for me!

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Pearl,  Mon 17 Aug 09

Not much improvement in asset management.  Some firms are still cutting.

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GC, Private Equity / Venture Capital,  Thu 20 Aug 09

If you talk to people who are on the buy side, they would probably tell you that they haven't really done much for the entire year and they still have excess capacity to handle current work load.
If you believe the deleveraging process isn't over, of which I'm a true believer, then capital available for investment will continue to shrink and yes, we are just at the beginning of the end.

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